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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: January 22nd, 2024

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  • We laugh at this, but the older generations still remember when the mortgage interest was this high. I don’t know where you guys are from, but there is an old news reel from the 1970s here in Ireland when young families at the time complained of “high” house prices of up to 72,000 pounds, with mortgage interest of 14%. The folks on social media had their jaws dropped on learning of how high the interest rate was, but how cheap the overall property value was back then. Now how much are those said houses at the moment? They are now worth between €690,000 to €1.5 million. High valuation but the interest rate is down in proportion. In any case, only few could afford to buy houses these days due to inflation and wages haven’t kept up with it.










  • When I was growing up, my mom loves using the phrase which would roughly translates to “while you are still going forward, I’m turning back”, which is a thought terminating cliché to mean do as she says because she has experience. She doesn’t say it as much as she used to because she regrets having been a strict parent. But if she pulls that line again, I have a comeback ready to tell her “you’ve turned back, but the environment you grew up in changed”.







  • Truth of the matter is that predicting and determining when the stock market crashes or if a recession already happened is hard. Saying definitively “there were warning signs and I should have sold my shares” is hindsight bias. When COVID happened, everyone thought that a recession will occur and pulled out their investments. The COVID-induced recession didn’t happen and we have come with a better economy than before thanks to good handling of the economy by governments across the world. Those who sold their investments have to re-buy their shares but it is now at higher price than when they previously bought, and they missed out on potential higher profit had they stayed.

    Of course, the world is not black and white and not all circumstances are the same. It is always a case by case basis and there are variables always at play. We came out well after COVID because we know that we definitely had a good leadership back then. But with economy under Trump, there is a higher chance of recession happening for obvious reasons, not just with AI bubble burst. In that case, it is still bad idea to sell all your shares because you would have to re-buy them at now premium price, but you could diversify your investments to safer countries or sectors in preparation for the high likelihood of a market crash. I have divested from US stocks and bought more European and Japanese ones, and invested in energy sector because it is more resilient even during economic troubles. I might have to rethink about my US healthcare stocks, however.