Reddit refuge

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Cake day: June 16th, 2023

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  • You need to define the design event before determining what the correct course of action is. If it is a natural disaster response, you should have enough food, potable water, and fuel for a few weeks. Anything beyond that and you really need to start questioning how the assumptions affect your prep.

    If you’re expecting climate change/agricultural blight, not all crops are going to go at once. You need to select foodstuffs to keep where there aren’t any equivalents in the market.

    If you’re expecting long term war creating embargos, there will be a calorie deficit over months or years. You are also going to have community members and government trying to redistribute any available foodstuffs from hoarders. Unless you are very wealthy, you likely run out of food within a year unless you can grow and keep your food. Even then, you’ll likely be caught as everyone is starving and you still have some fat on you.

    If you’re expecting collapse of supply chains causing mass shortages, security is going to be a major concern. That’s why people are recommending being armed and organized.

    It is the reason why a lot is people don’t take preppers seriously. A sustained food shortage beyond a natural disaster is likely going to result in an issue with a lack of security or the security apparatus has a vested interest in controlling scarce resources.













  • There is a concept in economics called price elasticity, which is how the market adjusts to changes in supply and demand. If there are more alternatives for the product or the product is a luxury, the price is usually considered “elastic” as people will stop using the good over paying more for it.

    Oil is price inelastic. For a lot of equipment, there isn’t an immediate substitute for oil and people need oil to do a lot of important economic activities. So, if there is a reduction in supply, a lot of people will pay more money to make sure they get their oil, which drives up prices far more than the lack of supply would normally suggest.

    That being said, goods are usually more price elastic in the long run. For instance, people might choose an electric car right now over a gas powered car because electric cars now are a lot cheaper in comparison for total use costs.